BALRavens
2-0
7
TBD
Wembley Stadium
70°F
10 mph
44
JAXJaguars
1-1
TBD
Wembley Stadium
70°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
0
0
0
7
7
Jaguars
10
13
14
7
44
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
38
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
186
410
Total Plays
54
68
Yards / Play
3.4
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.38
+0.32
Passing Yards
52
--
Comp/Att
14/27(52%)
20/33(61%)
Yards / Pass
1.9
--
EPA / Pass
-0.67
+0.42
Rushing Yards
134
166
Rush Attempts
25
35
Yards / Rush
5.4
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.27
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
24
Passing 1st downs
4
13
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
27%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
3
3
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
1
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-16.93
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-12
--
Sack EPA
-3.78
--
Penalties
10
9
Penalty Yards
88
70
Penalty EPA
-13.20
-8.13
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-123
Home nfelo
1,416
Away nfelo
1,539
Home Field
--
Base HFA
--
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+1.0
Home QB Adjustment
-3.7
Away QB Adjustment
-4.6
Market Regression
+40.8
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-4.6
R. Bortles
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-3.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
3
Yards / Game
27
3
Passing Yards / Game
31
6
Rushing Yards / Game
10
17
EPA
EPA / Play
14
1
EPA / Pass
20
1
EPA / Rush
14
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
29
Interceptions / Game
17
2
Fumbles / Game
1
6
Turnover EPA / Game
17
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
4
4th Down Efficiency
4
24
RZ Efficiency
9
3
Jaguars Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
5
Yards / Game
9
12
Passing Yards / Game
28
12
Rushing Yards / Game
1
16
EPA
EPA / Play
9
2
EPA / Pass
10
2
EPA / Rush
6
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
25
Interceptions / Game
9
1
Fumbles / Game
20
4
Turnover EPA / Game
24
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
8
4th Down Efficiency
2
11
RZ Efficiency
1
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U
Jaguars
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U