BALRavens
-
10
TBD
MetLife Stadium
67°F
11 mph
9
NYJJets
-
TBD
MetLife Stadium
67°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
0
7
3
0
10
Jets
3
3
0
3
9
Spread
+1
Total
UNDER
36.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
282
176
Total Plays
75
44
Yards / Play
3.8
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.15
-0.29
Passing Yards
233
60
Comp/Att
20/38(53%)
10/21(48%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
2.9
EPA / Pass
-0.13
-0.60
Rushing Yards
49
116
Rush Attempts
35
21
Yards / Rush
1.4
5.5
EPA / Rush
-0.46
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
6
Passing 1st downs
12
2
Rushing 1st downs
2
3
Penalty 1st downs
6
1
3rd Down %
58%
9%
3rd Down Conversions
11
1
3rd Down Attempts
19
11
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-17.14
-4.23
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-15
-14
Sack EPA
-7.15
-4.34
Penalties
5
14
Penalty Yards
38
125
Penalty EPA
-4.78
-14.72
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-1.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model52.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+33
Home nfelo
1,553
Away nfelo
1,583
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+1.4
Home QB Adjustment
-8.1
Away QB Adjustment
-9.5
Market Regression
-50.1
Final Difference
15.3
Model Spread
-1.0
Quarterbacks
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-9.5
M. Sanchez
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-8.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
5
Yards / Game
22
3
Passing Yards / Game
15
20
Rushing Yards / Game
16
5
EPA
EPA / Play
10
8
EPA / Pass
10
9
EPA / Rush
18
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
29
Interceptions / Game
3
25
Fumbles / Game
17
4
Turnover EPA / Game
23
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
15
4th Down Efficiency
19
12
RZ Efficiency
22
25
Jets Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
3
Yards / Game
12
4
Passing Yards / Game
27
12
Rushing Yards / Game
4
3
EPA
EPA / Play
15
6
EPA / Pass
18
8
EPA / Rush
6
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
9
Interceptions / Game
10
7
Fumbles / Game
5
7
Turnover EPA / Game
28
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
12
4th Down Efficiency
21
18
RZ Efficiency
28
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Jets
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
4-5-1
O/U