BALRavens
0-1
33
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
80°F
8 mph
37
OAKRaiders
0-1
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
80°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
10
10
0
13
33
Raiders
10
10
10
7
37
Spread
+6
Total
OVER
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
493
448
Total Plays
70
66
Yards / Play
7.0
6.8
EPA / Play
+0.29
+0.32
Passing Yards
--
351
Comp/Att
32/45(71%)
30/46(65%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.6
EPA / Pass
+0.27
+0.29
Rushing Yards
109
97
Rush Attempts
25
19
Yards / Rush
4.4
5.1
EPA / Rush
+0.18
+0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
29
27
Passing 1st downs
17
17
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
5
6
3rd Down %
36%
64%
3rd Down Conversions
4
9
3rd Down Attempts
11
14
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.75
-4.89
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
-1.63
Penalties
10
16
Penalty Yards
109
106
Penalty EPA
-8.73
-9.30
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market69.8%
Model65.8%
Spread Pick
Raiders+6.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-79
Home nfelo
1,368
Away nfelo
1,539
Home Field
+95.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-4.3
Home QB Adjustment
-8.9
Away QB Adjustment
-4.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-114.0
Model Spread
+4.0
Quarterbacks
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-4.6
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-8.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
22
Yards / Game
14
22
Passing Yards / Game
25
19
Rushing Yards / Game
26
13
EPA
EPA / Play
22
19
EPA / Pass
23
14
EPA / Rush
26
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
21
Interceptions / Game
31
15
Fumbles / Game
3
15
Turnover EPA / Game
8
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
11
4th Down Efficiency
15
19
RZ Efficiency
24
10
Raiders Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
24
Yards / Game
24
10
Passing Yards / Game
26
16
Rushing Yards / Game
28
12
EPA
EPA / Play
19
21
EPA / Pass
21
24
EPA / Rush
20
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
30
Interceptions / Game
17
32
Fumbles / Game
27
15
Turnover EPA / Game
12
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
20
4th Down Efficiency
27
11
RZ Efficiency
8
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U
Raiders
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
8-2
O/U