BALRavens
8-7
21
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
54°F
6 mph
13
OAKRaiders
5-10
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
54°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
7
7
0
7
21
Raiders
0
10
3
0
13
Spread
+10
Total
UNDER
39
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
330
325
Total Plays
58
62
Yards / Play
5.7
5.2
EPA / Play
+0.13
-0.04
Passing Yards
90
274
Comp/Att
11/19(58%)
27/39(69%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
7.0
EPA / Pass
-0.20
+0.01
Rushing Yards
240
51
Rush Attempts
35
20
Yards / Rush
6.9
2.5
EPA / Rush
+0.30
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
20
Passing 1st downs
6
14
Rushing 1st downs
10
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
43%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-10.30
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-12
-8
Sack EPA
-4.70
-6.38
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
37
30
Penalty EPA
-3.55
-3.42
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-11.0
Current
-10.0
Model
-9.0
Win Probability
Market80.1%
Model78.4%
Spread Pick
Raiders+10.0
Expected Value
+6.6%
Cover Probability
51.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-195
Home nfelo
1,338
Away nfelo
1,620
Home Field
+106.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
-20.2
Home QB Adjustment
-17.1
Away QB Adjustment
+3.1
Market Regression
+6.3
Final Difference
-224.0
Model Spread
+9.0
Quarterbacks
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+3.1
C. Frye
Proj. Value
-2.0
Team Elo Adj
-17.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
23
Yards / Game
14
25
Passing Yards / Game
19
15
Rushing Yards / Game
4
29
EPA
EPA / Play
11
26
EPA / Pass
14
27
EPA / Rush
4
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
3
Interceptions / Game
13
31
Fumbles / Game
6
23
Turnover EPA / Game
27
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
7
4th Down Efficiency
24
28
RZ Efficiency
15
10
Raiders Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
2
Yards / Game
31
2
Passing Yards / Game
26
14
Rushing Yards / Game
21
3
EPA
EPA / Play
29
4
EPA / Pass
30
3
EPA / Rush
22
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
17
Interceptions / Game
22
5
Fumbles / Game
32
11
Turnover EPA / Game
11
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
8
4th Down Efficiency
18
10
RZ Efficiency
29
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Raiders
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U