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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. ravens @ rams week 1, 1999

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
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    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
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  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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BAL logo
BALRavens
-
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0
LARRams
-
LAR logo
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
0
0
0
0
0
Rams
0
0
0
0
0

Game Statistics

General
Ravens logo
Rams logo
Total Yards
Total Plays
Yards / Play
EPA / Play
Passing Yards
Comp/Att
/(NaN%)
/(NaN%)
Yards / Pass
EPA / Pass
Rushing Yards
Rush Attempts
Yards / Rush
EPA / Rush
Downs & Conversions
Ravens logo
Rams logo
1st Downs
Passing 1st downs
Rushing 1st downs
Penalty 1st downs
3rd Down %
NaN%
NaN%
3rd Down Conversions
3rd Down Attempts
Red Zone %
NaN%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
Red Zone Attempts
Negative Plays
Ravens logo
Rams logo
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
Fumbles
Turnover EPA
Sacks
Sack Yards
Sack EPA
Penalties
Penalty Yards
Penalty EPA

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
BAL logo
BALRavensFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Ravens Offense vs Rams Defense
Ravens logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
11
4
Yards / Game
22
11
Passing Yards / Game
17
28
Rushing Yards / Game
15
2

EPA

EPA / Play
19
2
EPA / Pass
29
7
EPA / Rush
9
11

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
27
27
Interceptions / Game
22
3
Fumbles / Game
21
26
Turnover EPA / Game
20
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
31
13
4th Down Efficiency
29
22
RZ Efficiency
30
24
Rams Offense vs Ravens Defense
Rams logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
1
7
Yards / Game
1
2
Passing Yards / Game
7
4
Rushing Yards / Game
12
1

EPA

EPA / Play
1
3
EPA / Pass
1
2
EPA / Rush
10
4

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
30
4
Interceptions / Game
10
10
Fumbles / Game
16
28
Turnover EPA / Game
17
13

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
1
10
4th Down Efficiency
7
19
RZ Efficiency
2
13

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

BAL logo

Ravens

0-0
SU
0-0
ATS
0-0
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
LAR logo

Rams

0-0
SU
0-0
ATS
0-0
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U