BALRavens
1-1
37
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
07
LARRams
0-2
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
21
6
3
1
31
Rams
0
0
7
0
7
Spread
-6
Total
OVER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
553
244
Total Plays
76
63
Yards / Play
7.3
3.9
EPA / Play
+0.13
-0.43
Passing Yards
385
132
Comp/Att
27/48(56%)
16/32(50%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
4.1
EPA / Pass
+0.22
-0.59
Rushing Yards
168
112
Rush Attempts
26
26
Yards / Rush
6.5
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.24
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
17
Passing 1st downs
17
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
40%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
25%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.81
-12.01
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-4
-34
Sack EPA
-6.08
-16.62
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
32
117
Penalty EPA
-5.59
-10.46
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-6.0
Model
-6.0
Win Probability
Market69.8%
Model69.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-123
Home nfelo
1,425
Away nfelo
1,620
Home Field
+73.7
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-1.6
Home QB Adjustment
-5.4
Away QB Adjustment
-3.8
Market Regression
-53.8
Final Difference
-145.5
Model Spread
+6.0
Quarterbacks
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-3.8
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-5.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
25
Yards / Game
15
21
Passing Yards / Game
13
14
Rushing Yards / Game
12
31
EPA
EPA / Play
15
16
EPA / Pass
12
20
EPA / Rush
18
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
1
Interceptions / Game
5
23
Fumbles / Game
23
29
Turnover EPA / Game
23
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
18
4th Down Efficiency
12
29
RZ Efficiency
17
13
Rams Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
3
Yards / Game
31
3
Passing Yards / Game
21
4
Rushing Yards / Game
23
3
EPA
EPA / Play
32
3
EPA / Pass
31
2
EPA / Rush
32
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
16
Interceptions / Game
3
12
Fumbles / Game
27
10
Turnover EPA / Game
13
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
3
4th Down Efficiency
24
20
RZ Efficiency
31
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Rams
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
5-4-1
O/U