BALRavens
1-0
13
TBD
Nissan Stadium
76°F
11 mph
26
TENTitans
0-1
TBD
Nissan Stadium
76°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Ravens
0
10
0
3
13
Titans
0
10
10
6
26
Spread
+5.5
Total
UNDER
39.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
229
432
Total Plays
52
71
Yards / Play
4.4
6.1
EPA / Play
-0.13
+0.08
Passing Yards
184
--
Comp/Att
15/32(47%)
30/42(71%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
--
EPA / Pass
-0.13
+0.32
Rushing Yards
45
74
Rush Attempts
17
29
Yards / Rush
2.6
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.44
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
21
Passing 1st downs
11
16
Rushing 1st downs
2
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
30%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
17
Red Zone %
0%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-13.05
-4.88
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-13
--
Sack EPA
-0.09
--
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
44
70
Penalty EPA
-6.00
-6.67
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-5.5
Model
-5.0
Win Probability
Market68.5%
Model67.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-95
Home nfelo
1,469
Away nfelo
1,631
Home Field
+73.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-5.8
Home QB Adjustment
-0.2
Away QB Adjustment
+5.6
Market Regression
-0.6
Final Difference
-126.8
Model Spread
+5.0
Quarterbacks
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+5.6
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-0.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Ravens Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
8
Yards / Game
15
18
Passing Yards / Game
13
13
Rushing Yards / Game
12
22
EPA
EPA / Play
15
15
EPA / Pass
12
17
EPA / Rush
18
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
31
Interceptions / Game
5
24
Fumbles / Game
23
4
Turnover EPA / Game
23
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
23
4th Down Efficiency
12
12
RZ Efficiency
17
10
Titans Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
3
Yards / Game
17
3
Passing Yards / Game
11
4
Rushing Yards / Game
32
3
EPA
EPA / Play
16
3
EPA / Pass
16
2
EPA / Rush
28
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
16
Interceptions / Game
13
12
Fumbles / Game
12
10
Turnover EPA / Game
19
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
3
4th Down Efficiency
1
20
RZ Efficiency
5
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Ravens
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Titans
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U