NOSaints
2-4
31
TBD
Candlestick Park
63°F
6 mph
10
SF49ers
2-4
TBD
Candlestick Park
63°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
10
14
0
7
31
49ers
0
0
3
7
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
438
260
Total Plays
66
66
Yards / Play
6.6
3.9
EPA / Play
+0.26
-0.10
Passing Yards
--
177
Comp/Att
31/39(79%)
22/43(51%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.1
EPA / Pass
+0.47
-0.07
Rushing Yards
102
83
Rush Attempts
27
21
Yards / Rush
3.8
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.17
-0.31
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
15
Passing 1st downs
18
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
54%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
7
10
3rd Down Attempts
13
19
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.40
-4.32
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-13
Sack EPA
--
-2.04
Penalties
4
7
Penalty Yards
25
66
Penalty EPA
-4.43
-7.59
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
20
Yards / Game
5
25
Passing Yards / Game
22
15
Rushing Yards / Game
28
22
EPA
EPA / Play
14
15
EPA / Pass
10
22
EPA / Rush
17
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
1
Interceptions / Game
20
30
Fumbles / Game
19
14
Turnover EPA / Game
10
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
17
4th Down Efficiency
17
19
RZ Efficiency
1
6
49ers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
25
Yards / Game
32
26
Passing Yards / Game
27
25
Rushing Yards / Game
27
13
EPA
EPA / Play
32
23
EPA / Pass
32
30
EPA / Rush
31
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
32
Interceptions / Game
20
28
Fumbles / Game
26
18
Turnover EPA / Game
6
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
22
4th Down Efficiency
31
7
RZ Efficiency
16
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
4-6
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
49ers
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U