NOSaints
4-3
27
TBD
Candlestick Park
68°F
14 mph
28
SF49ers
5-2
TBD
Candlestick Park
68°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
3
11
10
3
27
49ers
7
14
0
7
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
490
415
Total Plays
71
61
Yards / Play
6.9
6.8
EPA / Play
+0.25
+0.26
Passing Yards
338
251
Comp/Att
22/38(58%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
8.9
7.4
EPA / Pass
+0.53
+0.47
Rushing Yards
152
164
Rush Attempts
32
26
Yards / Rush
4.8
6.3
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
21
Passing 1st downs
17
11
Rushing 1st downs
7
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
36%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.78
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-11
-1
Sack EPA
-1.33
-1.09
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
65
55
Penalty EPA
-7.10
-4.84
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
8
Yards / Game
10
15
Passing Yards / Game
9
19
Rushing Yards / Game
19
9
EPA
EPA / Play
20
15
EPA / Pass
16
15
EPA / Rush
28
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
27
Interceptions / Game
25
5
Fumbles / Game
15
26
Turnover EPA / Game
10
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
19
4th Down Efficiency
22
26
RZ Efficiency
12
19
49ers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
27
Yards / Game
5
17
Passing Yards / Game
13
15
Rushing Yards / Game
3
13
EPA
EPA / Play
3
25
EPA / Pass
3
24
EPA / Rush
2
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
5
Interceptions / Game
3
21
Fumbles / Game
1
3
Turnover EPA / Game
25
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
23
4th Down Efficiency
9
1
RZ Efficiency
2
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
49ers
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U