NOSaints
8-5
31
TBD
Candlestick Park
55°F
13 mph
27
SF49ers
5-8
TBD
Candlestick Park
55°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
3
0
11
17
31
49ers
7
7
0
13
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
390
398
Total Plays
73
61
Yards / Play
5.3
6.5
EPA / Play
+0.28
+0.22
Passing Yards
172
280
Comp/Att
12/29(41%)
25/37(68%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
7.6
EPA / Pass
-0.02
+0.28
Rushing Yards
218
110
Rush Attempts
39
22
Yards / Rush
5.6
5.0
EPA / Rush
+0.39
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
21
Passing 1st downs
9
14
Rushing 1st downs
12
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
40%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
11
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-8.41
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-31
-17
Sack EPA
-6.18
-3.53
Penalties
1
2
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
28
Yards / Game
12
28
Passing Yards / Game
9
29
Rushing Yards / Game
14
17
EPA
EPA / Play
13
30
EPA / Pass
8
26
EPA / Rush
15
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
29
Interceptions / Game
13
24
Fumbles / Game
17
26
Turnover EPA / Game
25
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
19
4th Down Efficiency
7
26
RZ Efficiency
14
28
49ers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
14
Yards / Game
4
13
Passing Yards / Game
12
14
Rushing Yards / Game
17
9
EPA
EPA / Play
5
13
EPA / Pass
3
10
EPA / Rush
10
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
16
Interceptions / Game
2
9
Fumbles / Game
2
15
Turnover EPA / Game
28
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
24
4th Down Efficiency
12
6
RZ Efficiency
3
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
49ers
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U