NOSaints
2-0
29
TBD
Memorial Stadium (Champaign)
53°F
6 mph
23
CHIBears
2-0
TBD
Memorial Stadium (Champaign)
53°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
14
7
8
29
Bears
10
10
0
3
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
304
353
Total Plays
60
71
Yards / Play
5.1
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.11
-0.04
Passing Yards
229
228
Comp/Att
22/34(65%)
26/40(65%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
5.7
EPA / Pass
+0.20
+0.04
Rushing Yards
75
125
Rush Attempts
25
30
Yards / Rush
3.0
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.25
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
21
Passing 1st downs
10
15
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
33%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-10.02
-8.23
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-4
-8
Sack EPA
-1.09
-1.53
Penalties
10
7
Penalty Yards
91
49
Penalty EPA
-4.57
-5.68
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
25
Yards / Game
18
25
Passing Yards / Game
10
28
Rushing Yards / Game
17
27
EPA
EPA / Play
13
21
EPA / Pass
19
26
EPA / Rush
12
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
7
Interceptions / Game
12
30
Fumbles / Game
15
3
Turnover EPA / Game
15
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
10
4th Down Efficiency
6
25
RZ Efficiency
13
8
Bears Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
26
Yards / Game
29
27
Passing Yards / Game
17
27
Rushing Yards / Game
32
20
EPA
EPA / Play
27
16
EPA / Pass
27
19
EPA / Rush
27
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
13
Interceptions / Game
21
7
Fumbles / Game
25
1
Turnover EPA / Game
4
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
18
4th Down Efficiency
18
25
RZ Efficiency
8
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U