NOSaints
1-1
10
TBD
Soldier Field
49°F
8 mph
14
CHIBears
1-2
TBD
Soldier Field
49°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
7
3
0
10
Bears
0
0
0
14
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
269
324
Total Plays
67
74
Yards / Play
4.0
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.20
-0.15
Passing Yards
132
212
Comp/Att
15/28(54%)
25/43(58%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
4.9
EPA / Pass
-0.14
-0.24
Rushing Yards
137
112
Rush Attempts
35
28
Yards / Rush
3.9
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.21
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
20
Passing 1st downs
8
11
Rushing 1st downs
7
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
27%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
4
8
3rd Down Attempts
15
19
Red Zone %
33%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
5
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
3
Turnover EPA
-5.96
-19.55
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-46
-12
Sack EPA
-7.31
-6.16
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
41
35
Penalty EPA
-3.71
-4.27
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
18
Yards / Game
19
30
Passing Yards / Game
20
23
Rushing Yards / Game
17
24
EPA
EPA / Play
30
16
EPA / Pass
25
23
EPA / Rush
21
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
18
Interceptions / Game
30
23
Fumbles / Game
6
7
Turnover EPA / Game
1
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
28
4th Down Efficiency
19
1
RZ Efficiency
24
10
Bears Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
28
Yards / Game
8
19
Passing Yards / Game
2
18
Rushing Yards / Game
25
19
EPA
EPA / Play
27
27
EPA / Pass
17
20
EPA / Rush
26
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
16
Interceptions / Game
27
13
Fumbles / Game
29
10
Turnover EPA / Game
6
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
20
4th Down Efficiency
18
31
RZ Efficiency
28
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
1-1
SU
2-0
ATS
0-0-2
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
Bears
1-2
SU
2-0-1
ATS
0-0-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U