NOSaints
7-6
24
TBD
Soldier Field
28°F
11 mph
27
CHIBears
7-6
TBD
Soldier Field
28°F
11 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Saints
0
7
7
10
0
24
Bears
7
14
0
3
3
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
345
226
Total Plays
76
62
Yards / Play
4.5
3.6
EPA / Play
-0.01
-0.03
Passing Yards
226
171
Comp/Att
24/43(56%)
24/41(59%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
4.2
EPA / Pass
+0.03
-0.38
Rushing Yards
119
55
Rush Attempts
32
20
Yards / Rush
3.7
2.8
EPA / Rush
-0.15
-0.30
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
16
Passing 1st downs
14
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
41%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
17
12
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-8.41
-14.69
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-6
-1
Sack EPA
-1.45
-0.11
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
97
24
Penalty EPA
-9.55
-4.83
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
15
Yards / Game
1
21
Passing Yards / Game
3
9
Rushing Yards / Game
28
5
EPA
EPA / Play
3
7
EPA / Pass
1
10
EPA / Rush
21
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
21
Interceptions / Game
24
3
Fumbles / Game
10
22
Turnover EPA / Game
8
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
6
4th Down Efficiency
12
14
RZ Efficiency
5
20
Bears Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
26
Yards / Game
26
23
Passing Yards / Game
7
11
Rushing Yards / Game
22
17
EPA
EPA / Play
25
22
EPA / Pass
27
18
EPA / Rush
27
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
30
Interceptions / Game
15
14
Fumbles / Game
29
26
Turnover EPA / Game
14
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
18
4th Down Efficiency
23
19
RZ Efficiency
13
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U