NOSaints
7-8
25
TBD
Soldier Field
30°F
2 mph
33
CHIBears
6-9
TBD
Soldier Field
30°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
17
0
8
25
Bears
10
14
1
0
25
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
415
275
Total Plays
84
57
Yards / Play
4.9
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.04
Passing Yards
308
179
Comp/Att
35/60(58%)
13/28(46%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
6.4
EPA / Pass
-0.20
-0.19
Rushing Yards
107
96
Rush Attempts
21
27
Yards / Rush
5.1
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.27
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
13
Passing 1st downs
18
7
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
21%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-8.76
-6.05
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-12
-20
Sack EPA
-6.98
-3.10
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
72
34
Penalty EPA
-8.27
-4.21
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
17
Yards / Game
5
28
Passing Yards / Game
22
30
Rushing Yards / Game
28
24
EPA
EPA / Play
14
5
EPA / Pass
10
14
EPA / Rush
17
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
9
Interceptions / Game
20
18
Fumbles / Game
19
1
Turnover EPA / Game
10
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
2
4th Down Efficiency
17
29
RZ Efficiency
1
14
Bears Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
25
Yards / Game
27
26
Passing Yards / Game
6
25
Rushing Yards / Game
30
13
EPA
EPA / Play
26
23
EPA / Pass
26
30
EPA / Rush
30
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
32
Interceptions / Game
28
28
Fumbles / Game
15
18
Turnover EPA / Game
15
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
22
4th Down Efficiency
18
7
RZ Efficiency
27
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U