NOSaints
11-6
14
TBD
Soldier Field
28°F
10 mph
39
CHIBears
14-3
TBD
Soldier Field
28°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
7
7
0
14
Bears
3
13
0
21
37
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
375
340
Total Plays
64
72
Yards / Play
5.9
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.33
+0.06
Passing Yards
319
--
Comp/Att
27/49(55%)
11/26(42%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
--
EPA / Pass
-0.17
-0.25
Rushing Yards
56
196
Rush Attempts
12
46
Yards / Rush
4.7
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.09
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
18
Passing 1st downs
12
6
Rushing 1st downs
3
12
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
38%
19%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
100%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
3
0
Turnover EPA
-16.66
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-35
--
Sack EPA
-9.96
--
Penalties
7
1
Penalty Yards
47
--
Penalty EPA
-6.84
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
3
Yards / Game
1
9
Passing Yards / Game
3
20
Rushing Yards / Game
19
9
EPA
EPA / Play
6
1
EPA / Pass
3
2
EPA / Rush
15
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
29
Interceptions / Game
5
3
Fumbles / Game
24
1
Turnover EPA / Game
15
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
3
4th Down Efficiency
11
12
RZ Efficiency
10
10
Bears Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
19
Yards / Game
14
11
Passing Yards / Game
12
10
Rushing Yards / Game
12
24
EPA
EPA / Play
15
18
EPA / Pass
26
15
EPA / Rush
14
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
26
Interceptions / Game
27
30
Fumbles / Game
22
30
Turnover EPA / Game
4
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
5
4th Down Efficiency
4
21
RZ Efficiency
15
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U