NOSaints
9-5
13
TBD
Paycor Stadium
44°F
23 mph
20
CINBengals
1-13
TBD
Paycor Stadium
44°F
23 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
10
3
0
0
13
Bengals
7
0
0
13
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
210
423
Total Plays
61
81
Yards / Play
3.4
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.31
-0.16
Passing Yards
177
183
Comp/Att
16/38(42%)
20/40(50%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
4.6
EPA / Pass
-0.33
-0.32
Rushing Yards
33
240
Rush Attempts
20
39
Yards / Rush
1.6
6.2
EPA / Rush
-0.38
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
25
Passing 1st downs
9
8
Rushing 1st downs
2
15
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
14%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-8.31
-14.87
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-26
-7
Sack EPA
-6.92
-4.97
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
30
--
Penalty EPA
-3.68
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
32
Yards / Game
18
18
Passing Yards / Game
10
4
Rushing Yards / Game
17
21
EPA
EPA / Play
13
32
EPA / Pass
19
31
EPA / Rush
12
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
13
Interceptions / Game
12
30
Fumbles / Game
15
12
Turnover EPA / Game
15
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
23
4th Down Efficiency
6
15
RZ Efficiency
13
20
Bengals Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
26
Yards / Game
19
27
Passing Yards / Game
14
27
Rushing Yards / Game
20
20
EPA
EPA / Play
24
16
EPA / Pass
25
19
EPA / Rush
7
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
13
Interceptions / Game
26
7
Fumbles / Game
12
1
Turnover EPA / Game
8
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
18
4th Down Efficiency
23
25
RZ Efficiency
26
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U