NOSaints
5-2
31
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
81°F
16 mph
14
TBBuccaneers
2-5
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
81°F
16 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
14
3
14
0
31
Buccaneers
0
14
0
0
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
363
226
Total Plays
67
53
Yards / Play
5.4
4.3
EPA / Play
+0.14
-0.23
Passing Yards
--
158
Comp/Att
24/32(75%)
18/31(58%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.1
EPA / Pass
+0.74
-0.29
Rushing Yards
49
68
Rush Attempts
35
18
Yards / Rush
1.4
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.38
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
11
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
53%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
9
4
3rd Down Attempts
17
14
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-5.32
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-27
Sack EPA
--
-9.31
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
25
25
Penalty EPA
-2.23
-1.90
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
22
Yards / Game
1
16
Passing Yards / Game
3
12
Rushing Yards / Game
19
17
EPA
EPA / Play
6
13
EPA / Pass
3
28
EPA / Rush
15
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
18
Interceptions / Game
5
28
Fumbles / Game
24
25
Turnover EPA / Game
15
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
14
4th Down Efficiency
11
10
RZ Efficiency
10
28
Buccaneers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
19
Yards / Game
29
11
Passing Yards / Game
19
10
Rushing Yards / Game
28
24
EPA
EPA / Play
31
18
EPA / Pass
31
15
EPA / Rush
24
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
26
Interceptions / Game
20
30
Fumbles / Game
21
30
Turnover EPA / Game
7
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
5
4th Down Efficiency
31
21
RZ Efficiency
23
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U