NOSaints
7-6
21
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
74°F
9 mph
48
TBBuccaneers
7-6
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
74°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
0
7
14
21
Buccaneers
17
13
3
9
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
271
366
Total Plays
54
71
Yards / Play
5.0
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.03
+0.34
Passing Yards
230
--
Comp/Att
21/38(55%)
16/31(52%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
--
EPA / Pass
-0.14
+0.35
Rushing Yards
41
159
Rush Attempts
13
40
Yards / Rush
3.2
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.28
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
23
Passing 1st downs
14
12
Rushing 1st downs
1
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
33%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
4
Red Zone Attempts
3
8
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
4
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-15.85
--
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-18
--
Sack EPA
-4.28
--
Penalties
3
5
Penalty Yards
23
40
Penalty EPA
-2.81
-6.36
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
11
Yards / Game
10
7
Passing Yards / Game
9
16
Rushing Yards / Game
19
16
EPA
EPA / Play
20
10
EPA / Pass
16
10
EPA / Rush
28
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
10
Interceptions / Game
25
2
Fumbles / Game
15
22
Turnover EPA / Game
10
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
13
4th Down Efficiency
22
7
RZ Efficiency
12
15
Buccaneers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
27
Yards / Game
26
17
Passing Yards / Game
16
15
Rushing Yards / Game
30
13
EPA
EPA / Play
17
25
EPA / Pass
19
24
EPA / Rush
17
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
5
Interceptions / Game
11
21
Fumbles / Game
7
3
Turnover EPA / Game
28
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
23
4th Down Efficiency
2
1
RZ Efficiency
22
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
5-5
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U