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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. saints @ cardinals week 4, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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NO logo
NOSaints
2-1
10
TBD
Sun Devil Stadium
93°F
3 mph
34
ARICardinals
0-3
ARI logo
TBD
Sun Devil Stadium
93°F
3 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
3
1
0
4
Cardinals
1
7
3
17
28

Game Statistics

General
Saints logo
Cardinals logo
Total Yards
279
373
Total Plays
55
61
Yards / Play
5.1
6.1
EPA / Play
-0.36
+0.05
Passing Yards
238
162
Comp/Att
24/40(60%)
13/19(68%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
8.5
EPA / Pass
+0.00
+0.24
Rushing Yards
41
211
Rush Attempts
14
40
Yards / Rush
2.9
5.3
EPA / Rush
-1.11
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
Saints logo
Cardinals logo
1st Downs
14
19
Passing 1st downs
12
6
Rushing 1st downs
1
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
8%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
1
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
0%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Saints logo
Cardinals logo
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-13.82
-4.40
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-4
-16
Sack EPA
-1.12
-3.29
Penalties
12
7
Penalty Yards
104
65
Penalty EPA
-13.56
+3.54

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
NO logo
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Saints Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Saints logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
15
11
Yards / Game
15
12
Passing Yards / Game
5
7
Rushing Yards / Game
25
27

EPA

EPA / Play
14
6
EPA / Pass
15
10
EPA / Rush
26
6

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
13
Interceptions / Game
14
19
Fumbles / Game
11
3
Turnover EPA / Game
10
19

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
3
4th Down Efficiency
14
22
RZ Efficiency
5
6
Cardinals Offense vs Saints Defense
Cardinals logo
Saints logo

Total

Points / Game
26
26
Yards / Game
27
32
Passing Yards / Game
21
18
Rushing Yards / Game
22
29

EPA

EPA / Play
27
23
EPA / Pass
26
24
EPA / Rush
24
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
12
Interceptions / Game
21
25
Fumbles / Game
11
1
Turnover EPA / Game
12
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
17
4th Down Efficiency
24
32
RZ Efficiency
22
14

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NO logo

Saints

6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/16
3
W
L
P
11/23
-13
L
L
P
11/30
4
W
W
P
12/07
-7
L
L
P
12/14
38
W
W
P
12/21
-1
L
W
P
12/28
6
W
W
P
09/12
-14
L
L
P
09/19
3
W
L
P
09/26
3
W
W
P
ARI logo

Cardinals

1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/16
-38
L
L
P
11/23
-3
L
W
P
11/30
-25
L
L
P
12/07
-36
L
L
P
12/14
-3
L
W
P
12/21
-18
L
L
P
12/28
1
W
W
P
09/12
-7
L
W
P
09/19
-11
L
L
P
09/26
-3
L
W
P