NOSaints
4-5
30
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
53°F
10 mph
20
KCChiefs
1-8
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
53°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
3
10
14
3
30
Chiefs
7
3
3
7
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
369
330
Total Plays
64
66
Yards / Play
5.8
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.28
+0.06
Passing Yards
--
206
Comp/Att
25/36(69%)
19/38(50%)
Yards / Pass
--
5.4
EPA / Pass
+0.29
-0.03
Rushing Yards
103
124
Rush Attempts
28
24
Yards / Rush
3.7
5.2
EPA / Rush
+0.00
+0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
21
Passing 1st downs
15
14
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
50%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
40%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.21
-1.16
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-29
Sack EPA
--
-4.99
Penalties
2
6
Penalty Yards
--
40
Penalty EPA
--
-3.90
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
29
Yards / Game
1
31
Passing Yards / Game
3
1
Rushing Yards / Game
28
30
EPA
EPA / Play
3
30
EPA / Pass
1
26
EPA / Rush
21
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
12
Interceptions / Game
24
18
Fumbles / Game
10
4
Turnover EPA / Game
8
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
32
4th Down Efficiency
12
7
RZ Efficiency
5
18
Chiefs Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
26
Yards / Game
24
23
Passing Yards / Game
10
11
Rushing Yards / Game
16
17
EPA
EPA / Play
23
22
EPA / Pass
22
18
EPA / Rush
12
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
30
Interceptions / Game
20
14
Fumbles / Game
12
26
Turnover EPA / Game
15
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
18
4th Down Efficiency
29
19
RZ Efficiency
10
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
1-9
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U