NOSaints
1-0
24
TBD
FedExField
90°F
6 mph
29
WASCommanders
0-1
TBD
FedExField
90°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
10
8
0
18
Commanders
3
6
6
14
29
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
250
455
Total Plays
54
70
Yards / Play
4.6
6.5
EPA / Play
-0.03
+0.06
Passing Yards
195
306
Comp/Att
22/33(67%)
24/37(65%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
8.3
EPA / Pass
-0.08
+0.32
Rushing Yards
55
149
Rush Attempts
19
31
Yards / Rush
2.9
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.19
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
25
Passing 1st downs
11
15
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
30%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
3
3
3rd Down Attempts
10
11
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-6.47
--
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-21
-15
Sack EPA
-3.56
-3.72
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
55
--
Penalty EPA
+1.98
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
5
Yards / Game
1
5
Passing Yards / Game
3
5
Rushing Yards / Game
28
8
EPA
EPA / Play
3
8
EPA / Pass
1
13
EPA / Rush
21
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
10
Interceptions / Game
24
18
Fumbles / Game
10
26
Turnover EPA / Game
8
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
7
4th Down Efficiency
12
26
RZ Efficiency
5
21
Commanders Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
26
Yards / Game
18
23
Passing Yards / Game
13
11
Rushing Yards / Game
8
17
EPA
EPA / Play
26
22
EPA / Pass
20
18
EPA / Rush
16
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
30
Interceptions / Game
1
14
Fumbles / Game
18
26
Turnover EPA / Game
28
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
18
4th Down Efficiency
5
19
RZ Efficiency
23
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U