NOSaints
4-1
43
TBD
FedExField
65°F
4 mph
27
WASCommanders
2-2
TBD
FedExField
65°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
13
16
1
7
37
Commanders
0
15
0
6
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
311
318
Total Plays
60
68
Yards / Play
5.2
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.03
-0.29
Passing Yards
192
264
Comp/Att
12/23(52%)
21/44(48%)
Yards / Pass
8.3
6.0
EPA / Pass
+0.02
-0.23
Rushing Yards
119
54
Rush Attempts
35
17
Yards / Rush
3.4
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.35
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
20
Passing 1st downs
8
13
Rushing 1st downs
4
5
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
38%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
13
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
5
Interceptions
1
4
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-9.51
-19.61
Sacks
2
7
Sack Yards
-13
-56
Sack EPA
-3.13
-11.14
Penalties
12
11
Penalty Yards
90
87
Penalty EPA
-1.07
-19.73
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
19
Yards / Game
18
4
Passing Yards / Game
10
16
Rushing Yards / Game
17
12
EPA
EPA / Play
13
6
EPA / Pass
19
6
EPA / Rush
12
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
12
Interceptions / Game
12
22
Fumbles / Game
15
9
Turnover EPA / Game
15
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
6
4th Down Efficiency
6
3
RZ Efficiency
13
2
Commanders Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
26
Yards / Game
21
27
Passing Yards / Game
18
27
Rushing Yards / Game
12
20
EPA
EPA / Play
26
16
EPA / Pass
23
19
EPA / Rush
17
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
13
Interceptions / Game
23
7
Fumbles / Game
25
1
Turnover EPA / Game
3
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
18
4th Down Efficiency
17
25
RZ Efficiency
6
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U