NOSaints
5-6
24
TBD
FedExField
49°F
9 mph
20
WASCommanders
4-7
TBD
FedExField
49°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
10
7
7
24
Commanders
0
14
3
3
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
310
392
Total Plays
67
68
Yards / Play
4.6
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.00
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
14/30(47%)
22/42(52%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
-0.02
-0.15
Rushing Yards
189
161
Rush Attempts
37
26
Yards / Rush
5.1
6.2
EPA / Rush
+0.21
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
20
Passing 1st downs
8
11
Rushing 1st downs
11
8
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
44%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
14
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-11.03
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
3
8
Penalty Yards
30
120
Penalty EPA
-4.56
-20.22
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
24
Yards / Game
11
25
Passing Yards / Game
7
7
Rushing Yards / Game
10
25
EPA
EPA / Play
14
28
EPA / Pass
12
22
EPA / Rush
22
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
4
Interceptions / Game
1
12
Fumbles / Game
32
8
Turnover EPA / Game
13
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
24
4th Down Efficiency
31
32
RZ Efficiency
11
30
Commanders Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
14
Yards / Game
23
18
Passing Yards / Game
15
16
Rushing Yards / Game
25
27
EPA
EPA / Play
17
15
EPA / Pass
19
14
EPA / Rush
15
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
15
Interceptions / Game
13
20
Fumbles / Game
19
18
Turnover EPA / Game
23
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
15
4th Down Efficiency
6
23
RZ Efficiency
14
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U