NOSaints
1-0
48
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
68°F
2 mph
22
PHIEagles
1-0
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
68°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
10
7
17
8
42
Eagles
7
6
7
0
20
Spread
-3
Total
OVER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
421
463
Total Plays
65
75
Yards / Play
6.5
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.33
-0.13
Passing Yards
288
378
Comp/Att
25/34(74%)
31/52(60%)
Yards / Pass
8.5
7.3
EPA / Pass
+0.44
-0.15
Rushing Yards
133
85
Rush Attempts
29
21
Yards / Rush
4.6
4.0
EPA / Rush
+0.17
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
23
Passing 1st downs
15
16
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
46%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
6
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
67%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
6
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.41
-20.96
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-23
-13
Sack EPA
-2.81
-2.46
Penalties
3
7
Penalty Yards
--
45
Penalty EPA
--
-4.74
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-3.0
Model
+0.5
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model48.8%
Spread Pick
Eagles+3.0
Expected Value
+9.1%
Cover Probability
53.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+83
Home nfelo
1,625
Away nfelo
1,545
Home Field
+95.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-92.1
Home QB Adjustment
-64.6
Away QB Adjustment
+27.4
Market Regression
-35.4
Final Difference
8.1
Model Spread
-0.5
Quarterbacks
D. Brees
Proj. Value
+1.4
Team Elo Adj
+27.4
K. Kolb
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-64.6
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
19
Yards / Game
1
16
Passing Yards / Game
16
32
Rushing Yards / Game
10
12
EPA
EPA / Play
2
9
EPA / Pass
2
9
EPA / Rush
7
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
10
Interceptions / Game
5
4
Fumbles / Game
28
14
Turnover EPA / Game
30
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
4
4th Down Efficiency
25
25
RZ Efficiency
4
25
Eagles Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
18
Yards / Game
11
28
Passing Yards / Game
5
21
Rushing Yards / Game
24
22
EPA
EPA / Play
14
11
EPA / Pass
12
7
EPA / Rush
10
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
30
Interceptions / Game
8
3
Fumbles / Game
27
4
Turnover EPA / Game
23
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
15
4th Down Efficiency
28
9
RZ Efficiency
27
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
6-4
SU
7-2-1
ATS
1-0-9
O/U
Eagles
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
1-0-9
O/U