NOSaints
7-7
42
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
07
DETLions
0-14
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
14
14
14
0
42
Lions
0
7
0
0
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
532
255
Total Plays
70
55
Yards / Play
7.6
4.6
EPA / Play
+0.52
-0.08
Passing Yards
--
126
Comp/Att
30/40(75%)
11/26(42%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.8
EPA / Pass
+0.75
-0.23
Rushing Yards
181
129
Rush Attempts
30
27
Yards / Rush
6.0
4.8
EPA / Rush
+0.14
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
32
15
Passing 1st downs
19
8
Rushing 1st downs
13
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
92%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
11
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
5
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.99
-0.39
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-11
Sack EPA
--
-4.58
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
12
35
Penalty EPA
-4.61
-3.91
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
32
Yards / Game
1
32
Passing Yards / Game
3
30
Rushing Yards / Game
28
32
EPA
EPA / Play
3
31
EPA / Pass
1
32
EPA / Rush
21
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
2
Interceptions / Game
24
32
Fumbles / Game
10
9
Turnover EPA / Game
8
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
29
4th Down Efficiency
12
22
RZ Efficiency
5
31
Lions Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
26
Yards / Game
30
23
Passing Yards / Game
17
11
Rushing Yards / Game
30
17
EPA
EPA / Play
29
22
EPA / Pass
32
18
EPA / Rush
18
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
30
Interceptions / Game
26
14
Fumbles / Game
25
26
Turnover EPA / Game
20
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
18
4th Down Efficiency
15
19
RZ Efficiency
3
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
5-5
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
0-10
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U