NOSaints
1-0
34
TBD
Lambeau Field
78°F
12 mph
27
GBPackers
0-1
TBD
Lambeau Field
78°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
14
6
14
34
Packers
13
0
0
14
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
380
385
Total Plays
67
77
Yards / Play
5.7
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.12
-0.03
Passing Yards
332
322
Comp/Att
26/41(63%)
31/55(56%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.19
+0.11
Rushing Yards
48
63
Rush Attempts
22
20
Yards / Rush
2.2
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.43
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
21
Passing 1st downs
17
18
Rushing 1st downs
2
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
40%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
9
3rd Down Attempts
15
18
Red Zone %
100%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-13.27
-10.74
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-21
-18
Sack EPA
-11.72
-2.89
Penalties
2
5
Penalty Yards
14
31
Penalty EPA
-1.56
-3.14
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
25
Yards / Game
1
13
Passing Yards / Game
3
27
Rushing Yards / Game
19
13
EPA
EPA / Play
6
12
EPA / Pass
3
8
EPA / Rush
15
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
28
Interceptions / Game
5
2
Fumbles / Game
24
22
Turnover EPA / Game
15
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
4
4th Down Efficiency
11
27
RZ Efficiency
10
19
Packers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
19
Yards / Game
9
11
Passing Yards / Game
11
10
Rushing Yards / Game
23
24
EPA
EPA / Play
27
18
EPA / Pass
15
15
EPA / Rush
29
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
26
Interceptions / Game
20
30
Fumbles / Game
26
30
Turnover EPA / Game
8
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
5
4th Down Efficiency
22
21
RZ Efficiency
31
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Packers
3-7
SU
2-7-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U