NOSaints
2-2
3
TBD
Lambeau Field
52°F
10 mph
52
GBPackers
0-4
TBD
Lambeau Field
52°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
3
0
0
0
3
Packers
8
21
10
1
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
254
309
Total Plays
65
56
Yards / Play
3.9
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.56
+0.20
Passing Yards
159
--
Comp/Att
14/35(40%)
20/28(71%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
--
EPA / Pass
-0.83
+0.48
Rushing Yards
95
94
Rush Attempts
26
28
Yards / Rush
3.7
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
21
Passing 1st downs
7
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
25%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
10
Red Zone %
0%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-26.86
--
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-18
--
Sack EPA
-6.45
--
Penalties
11
6
Penalty Yards
107
36
Penalty EPA
-14.24
-4.34
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
19
Yards / Game
20
6
Passing Yards / Game
5
1
Rushing Yards / Game
18
23
EPA
EPA / Play
30
15
EPA / Pass
25
12
EPA / Rush
26
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
27
Interceptions / Game
30
27
Fumbles / Game
30
19
Turnover EPA / Game
2
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
9
4th Down Efficiency
32
11
RZ Efficiency
27
21
Packers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
28
Yards / Game
15
15
Passing Yards / Game
8
3
Rushing Yards / Game
30
27
EPA
EPA / Play
22
28
EPA / Pass
17
27
EPA / Rush
25
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
13
Interceptions / Game
32
27
Fumbles / Game
23
23
Turnover EPA / Game
1
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
26
4th Down Efficiency
14
31
RZ Efficiency
18
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Packers
3-7
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U