NOSaints
3-0
18
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
82°F
6 mph
21
CARPanthers
1-2
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
82°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
3
0
15
18
Panthers
7
0
0
14
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
409
324
Total Plays
63
59
Yards / Play
6.5
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.19
+0.23
Passing Yards
346
157
Comp/Att
28/39(72%)
19/29(66%)
Yards / Pass
8.9
5.4
EPA / Pass
+0.40
+0.16
Rushing Yards
63
167
Rush Attempts
23
29
Yards / Rush
2.7
5.8
EPA / Rush
-0.31
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
20
Passing 1st downs
15
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
9
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
36%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
11
10
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.57
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-5
-12
Sack EPA
-1.15
-2.04
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
38
48
Penalty EPA
-3.91
-6.32
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
6
Yards / Game
1
5
Passing Yards / Game
3
25
Rushing Yards / Game
19
11
EPA
EPA / Play
6
19
EPA / Pass
3
17
EPA / Rush
15
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
19
Interceptions / Game
5
22
Fumbles / Game
24
27
Turnover EPA / Game
15
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
2
4th Down Efficiency
11
31
RZ Efficiency
10
26
Panthers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
19
Yards / Game
25
11
Passing Yards / Game
21
10
Rushing Yards / Game
24
24
EPA
EPA / Play
20
18
EPA / Pass
19
15
EPA / Rush
23
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
26
Interceptions / Game
17
30
Fumbles / Game
10
30
Turnover EPA / Game
21
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
5
4th Down Efficiency
28
21
RZ Efficiency
19
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U