NOSaints
2-1
27
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
71°F
16 mph
25
CARPanthers
1-3
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
71°F
16 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
10
7
3
7
27
Panthers
0
6
6
7
19
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
358
218
Total Plays
81
62
Yards / Play
4.4
3.5
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.17
Passing Yards
160
184
Comp/Att
14/40(35%)
21/41(51%)
Yards / Pass
4.0
4.5
EPA / Pass
-0.22
-0.27
Rushing Yards
198
34
Rush Attempts
39
20
Yards / Rush
5.1
1.7
EPA / Rush
+0.20
-0.68
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
13
Passing 1st downs
9
10
Rushing 1st downs
11
1
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
32%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
19
14
Red Zone %
60%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
4
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
3
Turnover EPA
-5.29
-11.16
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-20
-12
Sack EPA
-2.70
-5.73
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
55
19
Penalty EPA
-6.99
-2.20
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
28
Yards / Game
10
31
Passing Yards / Game
9
18
Rushing Yards / Game
19
31
EPA
EPA / Play
20
20
EPA / Pass
16
25
EPA / Rush
28
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
20
Interceptions / Game
25
3
Fumbles / Game
15
23
Turnover EPA / Game
10
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
27
4th Down Efficiency
22
31
RZ Efficiency
12
21
Panthers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
27
Yards / Game
30
17
Passing Yards / Game
27
15
Rushing Yards / Game
29
13
EPA
EPA / Play
30
25
EPA / Pass
30
24
EPA / Rush
30
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
5
Interceptions / Game
25
21
Fumbles / Game
24
3
Turnover EPA / Game
4
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
23
4th Down Efficiency
30
1
RZ Efficiency
14
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U