NOSaints
3-3
7
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
65°F
12 mph
30
CARPanthers
4-2
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
65°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
7
0
0
7
Panthers
3
10
14
3
30
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
343
336
Total Plays
62
60
Yards / Play
5.5
5.6
EPA / Play
-0.18
+0.19
Passing Yards
228
193
Comp/Att
21/39(54%)
14/22(64%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
8.8
EPA / Pass
-0.27
+0.42
Rushing Yards
115
143
Rush Attempts
22
37
Yards / Rush
5.2
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.03
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
18
Passing 1st downs
9
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
42%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-9.51
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-3
-2
Sack EPA
-0.94
-1.68
Penalties
3
3
Penalty Yards
30
--
Penalty EPA
-4.27
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
13
Yards / Game
1
19
Passing Yards / Game
3
29
Rushing Yards / Game
28
21
EPA
EPA / Play
3
10
EPA / Pass
1
11
EPA / Rush
21
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
27
Interceptions / Game
24
21
Fumbles / Game
10
11
Turnover EPA / Game
8
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
20
4th Down Efficiency
12
9
RZ Efficiency
5
14
Panthers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
26
Yards / Game
11
23
Passing Yards / Game
29
11
Rushing Yards / Game
2
17
EPA
EPA / Play
12
22
EPA / Pass
15
18
EPA / Rush
2
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
30
Interceptions / Game
20
14
Fumbles / Game
5
26
Turnover EPA / Game
17
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
18
4th Down Efficiency
31
19
RZ Efficiency
2
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U