NOSaints
6-3
20
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
57°F
3 mph
10
CARPanthers
4-5
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
57°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
7
1
6
14
Panthers
0
3
0
7
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
322
311
Total Plays
53
66
Yards / Play
6.1
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.14
Passing Yards
161
258
Comp/Att
14/22(64%)
24/42(57%)
Yards / Pass
7.3
6.1
EPA / Pass
+0.11
-0.36
Rushing Yards
157
53
Rush Attempts
31
17
Yards / Rush
5.1
3.1
EPA / Rush
+0.09
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
21
Passing 1st downs
8
15
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
33%
57%
3rd Down Conversions
4
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
0%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
6
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
4
Turnover EPA
-4.09
-25.33
Sacks
2
8
Sack Yards
-14
-37
Sack EPA
-1.89
-28.57
Penalties
8
3
Penalty Yards
99
22
Penalty EPA
-7.94
-1.45
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
11
Yards / Game
12
27
Passing Yards / Game
9
18
Rushing Yards / Game
14
25
EPA
EPA / Play
13
11
EPA / Pass
8
19
EPA / Rush
15
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
1
Interceptions / Game
13
12
Fumbles / Game
18
2
Turnover EPA / Game
25
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
27
4th Down Efficiency
7
8
RZ Efficiency
14
5
Panthers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
14
Yards / Game
20
13
Passing Yards / Game
4
14
Rushing Yards / Game
29
9
EPA
EPA / Play
18
13
EPA / Pass
21
10
EPA / Rush
21
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
16
Interceptions / Game
20
9
Fumbles / Game
28
14
Turnover EPA / Game
5
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
24
4th Down Efficiency
9
6
RZ Efficiency
29
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U