NOSaints
4-6
31
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
46°F
5 mph
6
CARPanthers
4-6
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
46°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
0
10
21
0
31
Panthers
3
3
0
0
6
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
373
195
Total Plays
75
55
Yards / Play
5.0
3.5
EPA / Play
+0.12
-0.36
Passing Yards
--
152
Comp/Att
24/36(67%)
18/36(50%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.2
EPA / Pass
+0.45
-0.34
Rushing Yards
113
43
Rush Attempts
39
18
Yards / Rush
2.9
2.4
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.73
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
11
Passing 1st downs
17
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
1
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
61%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
11
3
3rd Down Attempts
18
13
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
4
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.53
-12.77
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-9
Sack EPA
--
-1.60
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
76
35
Penalty EPA
-6.79
-3.07
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
16
Yards / Game
5
15
Passing Yards / Game
22
1
Rushing Yards / Game
28
18
EPA
EPA / Play
14
17
EPA / Pass
10
18
EPA / Rush
17
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
16
Interceptions / Game
20
24
Fumbles / Game
19
3
Turnover EPA / Game
10
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
25
4th Down Efficiency
17
12
RZ Efficiency
1
16
Panthers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
25
Yards / Game
29
26
Passing Yards / Game
30
25
Rushing Yards / Game
14
13
EPA
EPA / Play
27
23
EPA / Pass
23
30
EPA / Rush
21
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
32
Interceptions / Game
19
28
Fumbles / Game
19
18
Turnover EPA / Game
25
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
22
4th Down Efficiency
19
7
RZ Efficiency
18
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U