NOSaints
1-1
28
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
025
LARRams
1-1
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Saints
0
13
3
9
3
28
Rams
7
3
0
15
0
25
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
462
405
Total Plays
75
70
Yards / Play
6.2
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.20
+0.09
Passing Yards
313
327
Comp/Att
24/42(57%)
32/50(64%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
6.5
EPA / Pass
+0.25
+0.02
Rushing Yards
149
78
Rush Attempts
31
15
Yards / Rush
4.8
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.05
+0.40
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
25
Passing 1st downs
15
19
Rushing 1st downs
9
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
25%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-4.14
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-3
-33
Sack EPA
-2.01
-10.02
Penalties
5
12
Penalty Yards
25
85
Penalty EPA
-2.88
-8.08
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
28
Yards / Game
15
23
Passing Yards / Game
5
17
Rushing Yards / Game
25
31
EPA
EPA / Play
14
27
EPA / Pass
15
22
EPA / Rush
26
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
2
Interceptions / Game
14
32
Fumbles / Game
11
24
Turnover EPA / Game
10
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
16
4th Down Efficiency
14
26
RZ Efficiency
5
21
Rams Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
26
Yards / Game
6
32
Passing Yards / Game
3
18
Rushing Yards / Game
27
29
EPA
EPA / Play
16
23
EPA / Pass
11
24
EPA / Rush
5
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
12
Interceptions / Game
27
25
Fumbles / Game
28
1
Turnover EPA / Game
5
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
17
4th Down Efficiency
2
32
RZ Efficiency
18
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Rams
7-3
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U