NOSaints
6-2
31
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
39°F
9 mph
38
PITSteelers
2-6
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
39°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
7
17
0
7
31
Steelers
14
3
7
14
38
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
517
467
Total Plays
77
56
Yards / Play
6.7
8.3
EPA / Play
+0.23
+0.40
Passing Yards
393
250
Comp/Att
31/47(66%)
17/28(61%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
8.9
EPA / Pass
+0.33
+0.38
Rushing Yards
124
217
Rush Attempts
29
26
Yards / Rush
4.3
8.3
EPA / Rush
+0.05
+0.40
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
29
19
Passing 1st downs
19
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
63%
58%
3rd Down Conversions
10
7
3rd Down Attempts
16
12
Red Zone %
67%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
4
3
Red Zone Attempts
6
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
3
0
Turnover EPA
-10.82
--
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-5
-14
Sack EPA
-0.97
-2.86
Penalties
3
5
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
11
Yards / Game
1
7
Passing Yards / Game
3
7
Rushing Yards / Game
19
3
EPA
EPA / Play
6
9
EPA / Pass
3
16
EPA / Rush
15
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
4
Interceptions / Game
5
6
Fumbles / Game
24
19
Turnover EPA / Game
15
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
18
4th Down Efficiency
11
12
RZ Efficiency
10
8
Steelers Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
19
Yards / Game
6
11
Passing Yards / Game
4
10
Rushing Yards / Game
11
24
EPA
EPA / Play
12
18
EPA / Pass
10
15
EPA / Rush
19
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
26
Interceptions / Game
30
30
Fumbles / Game
17
30
Turnover EPA / Game
5
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
5
4th Down Efficiency
16
21
RZ Efficiency
17
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Steelers
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U