NOSaints
4-5
10
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
023
HOUTexans
4-5
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
3
7
0
0
10
Texans
7
10
0
6
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
327
390
Total Plays
69
59
Yards / Play
4.7
6.6
EPA / Play
-0.20
-0.01
Passing Yards
280
287
Comp/Att
33/49(67%)
21/33(64%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
8.7
EPA / Pass
-0.05
+0.15
Rushing Yards
47
103
Rush Attempts
19
25
Yards / Rush
2.5
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.49
-0.31
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
19
Passing 1st downs
15
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
53%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
11
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-13.78
-8.73
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-10
-6
Sack EPA
-0.70
-1.24
Penalties
4
3
Penalty Yards
--
22
Penalty EPA
--
-1.93
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
22
Yards / Game
5
24
Passing Yards / Game
22
29
Rushing Yards / Game
28
19
EPA
EPA / Play
14
28
EPA / Pass
10
25
EPA / Rush
17
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
26
Interceptions / Game
20
31
Fumbles / Game
19
11
Turnover EPA / Game
10
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
23
4th Down Efficiency
17
12
RZ Efficiency
1
18
Texans Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
25
Yards / Game
14
26
Passing Yards / Game
14
25
Rushing Yards / Game
21
13
EPA
EPA / Play
7
23
EPA / Pass
16
30
EPA / Rush
9
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
32
Interceptions / Game
28
28
Fumbles / Game
31
18
Turnover EPA / Game
3
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
22
4th Down Efficiency
2
7
RZ Efficiency
6
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U