NOSaints
1-1
12
TBD
Nissan Stadium
74°F
3 mph
27
TENTitans
1-1
TBD
Nissan Stadium
74°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
2
3
0
7
12
Titans
10
3
7
7
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
188
385
Total Plays
41
72
Yards / Play
4.6
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.06
+0.22
Passing Yards
165
280
Comp/Att
15/23(65%)
24/35(69%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
8.0
EPA / Pass
-0.06
+0.42
Rushing Yards
23
105
Rush Attempts
15
35
Yards / Rush
1.5
3.0
EPA / Rush
-0.33
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
28
Passing 1st downs
8
18
Rushing 1st downs
2
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
38%
57%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
8
14
Red Zone %
33%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-7.58
-3.75
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-20
-1
Sack EPA
-5.43
-4.81
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
27
--
Penalty EPA
-3.19
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
11
Yards / Game
11
10
Passing Yards / Game
7
32
Rushing Yards / Game
10
1
EPA
EPA / Play
14
10
EPA / Pass
12
9
EPA / Rush
22
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
26
Interceptions / Game
1
8
Fumbles / Game
32
17
Turnover EPA / Game
13
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
1
4th Down Efficiency
31
28
RZ Efficiency
11
9
Titans Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
14
Yards / Game
10
18
Passing Yards / Game
10
16
Rushing Yards / Game
21
27
EPA
EPA / Play
6
15
EPA / Pass
2
14
EPA / Rush
26
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
15
Interceptions / Game
3
20
Fumbles / Game
15
18
Turnover EPA / Game
21
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
15
4th Down Efficiency
23
23
RZ Efficiency
12
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Titans
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U