NOSaints
11-6
16
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
034
MINVikings
11-5
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Saints
3
0
7
6
16
Vikings
10
7
10
7
34
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
355
429
Total Plays
67
63
Yards / Play
5.3
6.8
EPA / Play
-0.03
+0.24
Passing Yards
285
--
Comp/Att
30/48(63%)
17/31(55%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
--
EPA / Pass
-0.00
+0.54
Rushing Yards
69
127
Rush Attempts
17
32
Yards / Rush
4.1
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
18
Passing 1st downs
14
12
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
31%
59%
3rd Down Conversions
4
10
3rd Down Attempts
13
17
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-8.55
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-9
--
Sack EPA
-2.00
--
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
40
60
Penalty EPA
-3.12
-4.46
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NOSaintsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Saints Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
24
Yards / Game
12
30
Passing Yards / Game
9
26
Rushing Yards / Game
14
15
EPA
EPA / Play
13
27
EPA / Pass
8
28
EPA / Rush
15
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
19
Interceptions / Game
13
28
Fumbles / Game
18
24
Turnover EPA / Game
25
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
30
4th Down Efficiency
7
10
RZ Efficiency
14
20
Vikings Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
14
Yards / Game
5
13
Passing Yards / Game
11
14
Rushing Yards / Game
7
9
EPA
EPA / Play
3
13
EPA / Pass
4
10
EPA / Rush
2
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
16
Interceptions / Game
19
9
Fumbles / Game
6
14
Turnover EPA / Game
14
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
24
4th Down Efficiency
5
6
RZ Efficiency
6
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Saints
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Vikings
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U