SEASeahawks
1-0
10
TBD
Candlestick Park
68°F
023
SF49ers
1-0
TBD
Candlestick Park
68°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
10
0
0
10
49ers
10
3
7
3
23
Spread
-1
Total
UNDER
39.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
283
379
Total Plays
65
60
Yards / Play
4.4
6.3
EPA / Play
-0.06
+0.15
Passing Yards
217
123
Comp/Att
25/41(61%)
19/27(70%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
4.6
EPA / Pass
-0.05
-0.03
Rushing Yards
66
256
Rush Attempts
23
29
Yards / Rush
2.9
8.8
EPA / Rush
-0.26
+0.30
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
16
Passing 1st downs
12
7
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
29%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-1.95
--
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-7
-21
Sack EPA
-1.97
-6.02
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
45
54
Penalty EPA
-6.43
-5.58
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-1.0
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model53.4%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+58
Home nfelo
1,473
Away nfelo
1,475
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+3.8
Home QB Adjustment
+0.4
Away QB Adjustment
-3.4
Market Regression
-3.5
Final Difference
24.0
Model Spread
-1.5
Quarterbacks
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-3.4
S. Hill
Proj. Value
-1.4
Team Elo Adj
+0.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
4
Yards / Game
21
15
Passing Yards / Game
7
9
Rushing Yards / Game
26
6
EPA
EPA / Play
25
2
EPA / Pass
24
5
EPA / Rush
31
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
12
Interceptions / Game
24
10
Fumbles / Game
22
1
Turnover EPA / Game
7
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
10
4th Down Efficiency
22
4
RZ Efficiency
30
2
49ers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
25
Yards / Game
27
23
Passing Yards / Game
18
5
Rushing Yards / Game
24
14
EPA
EPA / Play
23
21
EPA / Pass
21
28
EPA / Rush
20
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
11
Interceptions / Game
10
22
Fumbles / Game
6
23
Turnover EPA / Game
31
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
18
4th Down Efficiency
10
15
RZ Efficiency
6
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
3-7
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-1-9
O/U
49ers
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-1-9
O/U