SEASeahawks
7-4
19
TBD
Levi's Stadium
68°F
03
SF49ers
7-4
TBD
Levi's Stadium
68°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
6
3
3
19
49ers
0
0
3
0
3
Spread
+1.5
Total
UNDER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
379
164
Total Plays
60
51
Yards / Play
6.3
3.2
EPA / Play
+0.09
-0.30
Passing Yards
222
100
Comp/Att
15/22(68%)
16/29(55%)
Yards / Pass
10.1
3.4
EPA / Pass
+0.35
-0.55
Rushing Yards
157
64
Rush Attempts
34
18
Yards / Rush
4.6
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.11
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
16
Passing 1st downs
10
8
Rushing 1st downs
5
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
5
3rd Down %
36%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
20%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
+3.72
-7.68
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-14
-21
Sack EPA
-4.07
-5.09
Penalties
14
3
Penalty Yards
105
20
Penalty EPA
-10.73
-3.27
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-1.5
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market53.2%
Model53.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+0
Home nfelo
1,605
Away nfelo
1,636
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-25.5
Home QB Adjustment
-15.0
Away QB Adjustment
+10.5
Market Regression
+22.3
Final Difference
22.3
Model Spread
-1.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+10.5
C. Kaepernick
Proj. Value
-0.8
Team Elo Adj
-15.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
10
Yards / Game
8
5
Passing Yards / Game
13
14
Rushing Yards / Game
1
7
EPA
EPA / Play
8
18
EPA / Pass
10
15
EPA / Rush
1
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
3
Interceptions / Game
5
1
Fumbles / Game
9
25
Turnover EPA / Game
31
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
26
4th Down Efficiency
29
19
RZ Efficiency
19
28
49ers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
1
Yards / Game
21
1
Passing Yards / Game
27
6
Rushing Yards / Game
4
4
EPA
EPA / Play
20
4
EPA / Pass
18
4
EPA / Rush
20
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
12
Interceptions / Game
4
13
Fumbles / Game
19
15
Turnover EPA / Game
17
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
16
4th Down Efficiency
8
28
RZ Efficiency
29
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U
49ers
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U