SEASeahawks
0-1
17
TBD
Soldier Field
79°F
2 mph
24
CHIBears
0-1
TBD
Soldier Field
79°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
3
0
14
17
Bears
7
3
0
8
18
Spread
-4.5
Total
UNDER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
276
271
Total Plays
64
63
Yards / Play
4.3
4.3
EPA / Play
-0.23
-0.11
Passing Yards
202
185
Comp/Att
22/36(61%)
25/34(74%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
5.4
EPA / Pass
-0.31
-0.06
Rushing Yards
74
86
Rush Attempts
22
27
Yards / Rush
3.4
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.08
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
20
Passing 1st downs
10
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
38%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
12
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-12.87
-7.98
Sacks
6
2
Sack Yards
-24
-15
Sack EPA
-10.09
-3.46
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
37
55
Penalty EPA
-3.63
-4.25
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-4.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market66.1%
Model56.6%
Spread Pick
Seahawks+4.5
Expected Value
+18.0%
Cover Probability
61.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-13
Home nfelo
1,445
Away nfelo
1,512
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+56.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.8
Time Adj
-20.3
Net QB Adjustment
-2.1
Home QB Adjustment
-3.5
Away QB Adjustment
-1.4
Market Regression
+23.8
Final Difference
45.9
Model Spread
-2.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-1.4
M. Trubisky
Proj. Value
-0.5
Team Elo Adj
-3.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
1
Yards / Game
18
3
Passing Yards / Game
19
12
Rushing Yards / Game
1
1
EPA
EPA / Play
6
1
EPA / Pass
8
3
EPA / Rush
5
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
24
Interceptions / Game
2
1
Fumbles / Game
2
17
Turnover EPA / Game
31
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
4
4th Down Efficiency
3
17
RZ Efficiency
6
4
Bears Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
13
Yards / Game
21
19
Passing Yards / Game
13
24
Rushing Yards / Game
14
18
EPA
EPA / Play
17
19
EPA / Pass
12
11
EPA / Rush
17
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
8
Interceptions / Game
20
19
Fumbles / Game
20
3
Turnover EPA / Game
13
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
5
4th Down Efficiency
10
5
RZ Efficiency
12
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
4-6
SU
3-5-2
ATS
5-5
O/U
Bears
2-8
SU
4-5-1
ATS
3-7
O/U