SEASeahawks
1-0
14
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
91°F
9 mph
31
DENBroncos
0-1
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
91°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
0
7
7
14
Broncos
7
10
7
7
31
Spread
-3.5
Total
OVER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
339
369
Total Plays
56
74
Yards / Play
6.1
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.29
Passing Yards
230
304
Comp/Att
20/35(57%)
25/35(71%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
8.7
EPA / Pass
+0.04
+0.66
Rushing Yards
109
65
Rush Attempts
20
38
Yards / Rush
5.5
1.7
EPA / Rush
+0.31
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
23
Passing 1st downs
11
16
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
64%
70%
3rd Down Conversions
7
14
3rd Down Attempts
11
20
Red Zone %
50%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-8.79
+5.63
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-3
-3
Sack EPA
-1.53
-1.65
Penalties
7
3
Penalty Yards
64
35
Penalty EPA
-8.35
+0.00
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model62.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+125
Home nfelo
1,455
Away nfelo
1,430
Home Field
+95.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+4.1
Home QB Adjustment
+2.9
Away QB Adjustment
-1.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
88.7
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-1.2
K. Orton
Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
+2.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
32
Yards / Game
26
32
Passing Yards / Game
25
4
Rushing Yards / Game
31
31
EPA
EPA / Play
22
31
EPA / Pass
24
30
EPA / Rush
24
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
10
Interceptions / Game
20
31
Fumbles / Game
12
22
Turnover EPA / Game
12
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
16
4th Down Efficiency
29
27
RZ Efficiency
26
26
Broncos Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
27
Yards / Game
11
30
Passing Yards / Game
5
24
Rushing Yards / Game
26
21
EPA
EPA / Play
17
25
EPA / Pass
12
29
EPA / Rush
30
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
17
Interceptions / Game
7
27
Fumbles / Game
26
20
Turnover EPA / Game
16
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
26
4th Down Efficiency
30
7
RZ Efficiency
13
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Broncos
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U