SEASeahawks
2-3
3
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
56°F
7 mph
6
CLEBrowns
2-3
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
56°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
0
3
0
3
Browns
0
3
0
3
6
Spread
3
P
Total
UNDER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
137
298
Total Plays
50
84
Yards / Play
2.7
3.5
EPA / Play
-0.38
-0.19
Passing Yards
69
159
Comp/Att
12/30(40%)
20/35(57%)
Yards / Pass
2.3
4.5
EPA / Pass
-0.69
-0.08
Rushing Yards
68
139
Rush Attempts
16
45
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.1
EPA / Rush
+0.04
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
9
20
Passing 1st downs
5
12
Rushing 1st downs
2
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
17%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
2
12
3rd Down Attempts
12
24
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-6.71
-3.50
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-28
-19
Sack EPA
-9.08
-1.20
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
68
48
Penalty EPA
-6.79
-7.25
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+100
Home nfelo
1,447
Away nfelo
1,426
Home Field
+69.2
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-48.6
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+33.5
Net QB Adjustment
+9.8
Home QB Adjustment
+9.3
Away QB Adjustment
-0.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
C. Whitehurst
Proj. Value
-3.6
Team Elo Adj
-0.5
Value
Ptile
D. McCoy
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+9.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
5
Yards / Game
28
10
Passing Yards / Game
23
6
Rushing Yards / Game
20
30
EPA
EPA / Play
25
18
EPA / Pass
20
12
EPA / Rush
27
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
14
Interceptions / Game
13
30
Fumbles / Game
17
4
Turnover EPA / Game
22
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
24
4th Down Efficiency
10
16
RZ Efficiency
21
3
Browns Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
7
Yards / Game
29
9
Passing Yards / Game
20
12
Rushing Yards / Game
28
15
EPA
EPA / Play
26
5
EPA / Pass
23
3
EPA / Rush
24
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
4
Interceptions / Game
9
3
Fumbles / Game
1
18
Turnover EPA / Game
27
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
10
4th Down Efficiency
7
30
RZ Efficiency
29
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Browns
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U