SEASeahawks
7-2
5
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
81°F
6 mph
14
TBBuccaneers
5-5
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
81°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
0
3
0
0
3
Buccaneers
14
0
0
0
14
Spread
+5.5
Total
UNDER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
245
338
Total Plays
61
63
Yards / Play
4.0
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.31
-0.15
Passing Yards
118
--
Comp/Att
17/33(52%)
21/28(75%)
Yards / Pass
3.6
--
EPA / Pass
-0.73
+0.25
Rushing Yards
127
118
Rush Attempts
22
35
Yards / Rush
5.8
3.4
EPA / Rush
+0.13
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
19
Passing 1st downs
9
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
9%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
1
4
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
NaN%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
--
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-14.14
-8.14
Sacks
6
--
Sack Yards
-33
--
Sack EPA
-8.66
--
Penalties
2
7
Penalty Yards
27
68
Penalty EPA
-3.40
-8.97
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-5.0
Win Probability
Market68.5%
Model67.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-100
Home nfelo
1,452
Away nfelo
1,624
Home Field
+66.9
Base HFA
+57.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.9
Time Adj
-10.2
Net QB Adjustment
+4.8
Home QB Adjustment
+8.3
Away QB Adjustment
+3.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-127.8
Model Spread
+5.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+3.6
J. Winston
Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
+8.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
15
Yards / Game
15
22
Passing Yards / Game
4
20
Rushing Yards / Game
21
22
EPA
EPA / Play
14
12
EPA / Pass
10
10
EPA / Rush
21
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
16
Interceptions / Game
15
4
Fumbles / Game
6
12
Turnover EPA / Game
21
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
1
4th Down Efficiency
21
31
RZ Efficiency
26
24
Buccaneers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
2
Yards / Game
18
5
Passing Yards / Game
13
14
Rushing Yards / Game
25
6
EPA
EPA / Play
18
8
EPA / Pass
9
16
EPA / Rush
28
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
6
Interceptions / Game
27
25
Fumbles / Game
25
23
Turnover EPA / Game
12
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
12
4th Down Efficiency
22
5
RZ Efficiency
21
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-2-1
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Buccaneers
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U