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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ cardinals week 4, 2018

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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SEA logo
SEASeahawks
1-2
20
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0
17
ARICardinals
0-3
ARI logo
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
0
10
3
20
Cardinals
0
10
0
7
17

Spread

ARI logo
+3.5

Total

UNDER
40

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
Total Yards
331
263
Total Plays
62
56
Yards / Play
5.3
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.12
-0.22
Passing Yards
160
171
Comp/Att
19/26(73%)
15/27(56%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
6.3
EPA / Pass
-0.05
+0.17
Rushing Yards
171
92
Rush Attempts
34
28
Yards / Rush
5.0
3.3
EPA / Rush
+0.09
-0.39
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
1st Downs
19
18
Passing 1st downs
6
9
Rushing 1st downs
11
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
0%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
--
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-5.83
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-12
-9
Sack EPA
-3.20
-2.04
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
57
38
Penalty EPA
-6.05
-5.75

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5

Win Probability

Market62.9%
Model62.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-87
Home nfelo
1,367
Away nfelo
1,492
Home Field
+61.7
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
-25.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
+10.3
Net QB Adjustment
-24.0
Home QB Adjustment
-32.7
Away QB Adjustment
-8.7
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-91.7
Model Spread
+3.5

Quarterbacks

R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
-8.7
Value
Ptile
11/20
6.7
90
11/26
3.3
76
12/03
5.7
87
12/10
2.4
69
12/17
-7.3
11
12/24
-3.0
32
12/31
2.5
70
09/09
-3.9
23
09/17
-4.3
21
09/23
-0.5
43
J. Rosen headshot

J. Rosen

Proj. Value
-5.8
Team Elo Adj
-32.7
No recent game data available

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
7
26
Yards / Game
18
21
Passing Yards / Game
19
14
Rushing Yards / Game
1
32

EPA

EPA / Play
6
14
EPA / Pass
8
12
EPA / Rush
5
29

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
4
Interceptions / Game
2
29
Fumbles / Game
2
15
Turnover EPA / Game
31
11

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
18
16
4th Down Efficiency
3
24
RZ Efficiency
6
22
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
32
13
Yards / Game
32
19
Passing Yards / Game
28
24
Rushing Yards / Game
32
18

EPA

EPA / Play
32
19
EPA / Pass
32
11
EPA / Rush
30
11

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
30
8
Interceptions / Game
28
19
Fumbles / Game
22
3
Turnover EPA / Game
3
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
5
4th Down Efficiency
32
5
RZ Efficiency
8
8

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/20
-3
L
L
O
11/26
11
W
W
U
12/03
14
W
W
U
12/10
-6
L
L
O
12/17
-35
L
L
O
12/24
9
W
W
U
12/31
-2
L
L
O
09/09
-3
L
P
O
09/17
-7
L
L
U
09/23
11
W
W
U
ARI logo

Cardinals

4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/19
-10
L
L
O
11/26
3
W
W
O
12/03
-16
L
L
O
12/10
5
W
W
U
12/17
-5
L
L
U
12/24
23
W
W
U
12/31
2
W
W
O
09/09
-18
L
L
U
09/16
-34
L
L
U
09/23
-2
L
W
U