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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ cardinals week 4, 2025

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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SEA logo
SEASeahawks
2-1
23
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0
20
ARICardinals
2-1
ARI logo
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
7
3
6
23
Cardinals
3
0
3
14
20

Spread

SEA logo
-1.5

Total

UNDER
43.5

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
Total Yards
384
253
Total Plays
64
64
Yards / Play
6.0
4.0
EPA / Play
+0.08
-0.01
Passing Yards
229
164
Comp/Att
18/26(69%)
27/41(66%)
Yards / Pass
8.8
4.0
EPA / Pass
+0.38
-0.08
Rushing Yards
155
89
Rush Attempts
35
17
Yards / Rush
4.4
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
1st Downs
20
18
Passing 1st downs
11
13
Rushing 1st downs
6
2
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
46%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-4.28
Sacks
3
6
Sack Yards
-13
-36
Sack EPA
-3.35
-7.88
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
74
46
Penalty EPA
-6.90
-6.99

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
+1.5
Current
-1.5
Model
-1.0

Win Probability

Market53.6%
Model52.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+11
Home nfelo
1,504
Away nfelo
1,523
Home Field
+27.9
Base HFA
+38.8
Divisional Adj
-17.5
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.5
Time Adj
-7.0
Net QB Adjustment
+1.9
Home QB Adjustment
-0.1
Away QB Adjustment
-1.9
Market Regression
-39.9
Final Difference
-17.7
Model Spread
+1.0

Quarterbacks

S. Darnold headshot

S. Darnold

Proj. Value
-0.8
Team Elo Adj
-1.9
Value
Ptile
12/01
-0.6
46
12/08
7.2
91
12/16
-2.7
30
12/22
2.1
64
12/29
7.9
92
01/05
-8.0
5
01/13
-8.9
4
09/07
-1.3
40
09/14
-0.4
47
09/21
3.7
76
K. Murray headshot

K. Murray

Proj. Value
+0.9
Team Elo Adj
-0.1
Value
Ptile
11/24
-4.9
16
12/01
2.0
63
12/08
-0.3
47
12/15
2.2
64
12/22
1.4
59
12/28
-0.7
44
01/05
10.1
97
09/07
-0.7
45
09/14
-0.2
48
09/21
0.9
57

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
2
29
Yards / Game
8
26
Passing Yards / Game
27
27
Rushing Yards / Game
16
25

EPA

EPA / Play
11
28
EPA / Pass
8
27
EPA / Rush
29
20

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
25
6
Interceptions / Game
26
17
Fumbles / Game
28
7
Turnover EPA / Game
1
11

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
26
4th Down Efficiency
8
8
RZ Efficiency
18
27
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
23
2
Yards / Game
19
6
Passing Yards / Game
5
8
Rushing Yards / Game
29
3

EPA

EPA / Play
26
2
EPA / Pass
18
8
EPA / Rush
26
1

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
26
Interceptions / Game
11
5
Fumbles / Game
23
7
Turnover EPA / Game
15
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
1
4th Down Efficiency
30
13
RZ Efficiency
22
7

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/24
10
W
W
U
12/01
5
W
W
O
12/08
12
W
W
O
12/15
-17
L
L
U
12/22
-3
L
L
O
12/26
3
W
L
U
01/05
5
W
L
O
09/07
-4
L
L
U
09/14
14
W
W
O
09/21
31
W
W
O
ARI logo

Cardinals

4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/24
-10
L
L
U
12/01
-1
L
W
U
12/08
-12
L
L
O
12/15
13
W
W
O
12/22
-6
L
L
O
12/28
-4
L
W
U
01/05
23
W
W
O
09/07
7
W
W
U
09/14
5
W
L
O
09/21
-1
L
W
U