SEASeahawks
2-1
23
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
020
ARICardinals
2-1
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
7
3
6
23
Cardinals
3
0
3
14
20
Spread
-1.5
Total
UNDER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
384
253
Total Plays
64
64
Yards / Play
6.0
4.0
EPA / Play
+0.08
-0.01
Passing Yards
229
164
Comp/Att
18/26(69%)
27/41(66%)
Yards / Pass
8.8
4.0
EPA / Pass
+0.38
-0.08
Rushing Yards
155
89
Rush Attempts
35
17
Yards / Rush
4.4
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
18
Passing 1st downs
11
13
Rushing 1st downs
6
2
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
46%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-4.28
Sacks
3
6
Sack Yards
-13
-36
Sack EPA
-3.35
-7.88
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
74
46
Penalty EPA
-6.90
-6.99
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
+1.5
Current
-1.5
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market53.6%
Model52.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+8
Home nfelo
1,500
Away nfelo
1,522
Home Field
+27.9
Base HFA
+38.8
Divisional Adj
-17.5
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.5
Time Adj
-7.0
Net QB Adjustment
+1.9
Home QB Adjustment
-0.1
Away QB Adjustment
-1.9
Market Regression
-40.5
Final Difference
-18.3
Model Spread
+1.0
Quarterbacks
S. Darnold
Proj. Value
+0.7
Team Elo Adj
-1.9
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+0.8
Team Elo Adj
-0.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
25
Yards / Game
6
21
Passing Yards / Game
31
31
Rushing Yards / Game
14
16
EPA
EPA / Play
11
21
EPA / Pass
7
21
EPA / Rush
29
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
3
Interceptions / Game
28
18
Fumbles / Game
29
5
Turnover EPA / Game
1
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
14
4th Down Efficiency
5
4
RZ Efficiency
10
18
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
6
Yards / Game
14
9
Passing Yards / Game
15
25
Rushing Yards / Game
24
6
EPA
EPA / Play
24
2
EPA / Pass
15
13
EPA / Rush
25
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
32
Interceptions / Game
10
8
Fumbles / Game
28
11
Turnover EPA / Game
11
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
7
4th Down Efficiency
27
12
RZ Efficiency
18
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Cardinals
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U