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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ cardinals week 7, 2013

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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SEA logo
SEASeahawks
5-1
34
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0
22
ARICardinals
3-3
ARI logo
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
10
14
3
34
Cardinals
0
10
3
9
22

Spread

SEA logo
-5.5

Total

OVER
41

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
Total Yards
344
234
Total Plays
64
71
Yards / Play
5.4
3.3
EPA / Play
+0.02
-0.20
Passing Yards
209
204
Comp/Att
18/29(62%)
30/46(65%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
4.4
EPA / Pass
+0.12
-0.35
Rushing Yards
135
30
Rush Attempts
32
18
Yards / Rush
4.2
1.7
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.31
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
1st Downs
21
22
Passing 1st downs
14
16
Rushing 1st downs
6
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
58%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
75%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-10.58
-11.03
Sacks
3
7
Sack Yards
-26
-54
Sack EPA
-12.88
-10.53
Penalties
10
3
Penalty Yards
70
--
Penalty EPA
-6.63
--

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-5.5

Win Probability

Market68.5%
Model68.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-181
Home nfelo
1,423
Away nfelo
1,645
Home Field
+44.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-3.8
Home QB Adjustment
+3.0
Away QB Adjustment
+6.9
Market Regression
+8.1
Final Difference
-135.0
Model Spread
+5.5

Quarterbacks

R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+6.9
Value
Ptile
12/23
5.4
83
12/30
3.8
73
01/06
-0.7
45
01/13
10.4
97
09/08
4.3
80
09/15
-7.4
10
09/22
2.9
70
09/29
-5.2
18
10/06
4.1
78
10/13
5.2
84
C. Palmer headshot

C. Palmer

Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+3.0
Value
Ptile
12/02
5.1
81
12/06
3.0
69
12/16
-0.8
44
12/23
-4.5
22
09/08
1.2
59
09/15
-1.8
41
09/22
-10.4
3
09/29
-3.8
26
10/06
-6.8
12
10/13
1.4
60

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
7
6
Yards / Game
22
6
Passing Yards / Game
28
18
Rushing Yards / Game
4
1

EPA

EPA / Play
12
2
EPA / Pass
4
4
EPA / Rush
21
2

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
18
18
Interceptions / Game
2
5
Fumbles / Game
21
16
Turnover EPA / Game
29
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
16
11
4th Down Efficiency
19
8
RZ Efficiency
14
14
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
16
1
Yards / Game
14
1
Passing Yards / Game
3
5
Rushing Yards / Game
24
7

EPA

EPA / Play
21
1
EPA / Pass
19
1
EPA / Rush
26
12

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
16
Interceptions / Game
28
1
Fumbles / Game
13
13
Turnover EPA / Game
4
31

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
23
9
4th Down Efficiency
12
7
RZ Efficiency
24
2

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/23
29
W
W
O
12/30
7
W
L
U
01/06
10
W
W
U
01/13
-2
L
W
O
09/08
5
W
W
U
09/15
26
W
W
U
09/22
28
W
W
O
09/29
3
W
W
O
10/06
-6
L
L
O
10/13
7
W
L
U
ARI logo

Cardinals

4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/09
-58
L
L
O
12/16
28
W
W
O
12/23
-15
L
L
O
12/30
-14
L
W
O
09/08
-3
L
W
O
09/15
4
W
W
U
09/22
-24
L
L
U
09/29
3
W
W
U
10/06
16
W
W
U
10/13
-12
L
L
O