SEASeahawks
5-1
34
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
022
ARICardinals
3-3
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
10
14
3
34
Cardinals
0
10
3
9
22
Spread
-5.5
Total
OVER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
344
234
Total Plays
64
71
Yards / Play
5.4
3.3
EPA / Play
+0.02
-0.20
Passing Yards
209
204
Comp/Att
18/29(62%)
30/46(65%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
4.4
EPA / Pass
+0.12
-0.35
Rushing Yards
135
30
Rush Attempts
32
18
Yards / Rush
4.2
1.7
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.31
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
22
Passing 1st downs
14
16
Rushing 1st downs
6
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
58%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
75%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-10.58
-11.03
Sacks
3
7
Sack Yards
-26
-54
Sack EPA
-12.88
-10.53
Penalties
10
3
Penalty Yards
70
--
Penalty EPA
-6.63
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market68.5%
Model68.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-179
Home nfelo
1,426
Away nfelo
1,646
Home Field
+44.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-3.8
Home QB Adjustment
+3.0
Away QB Adjustment
+6.9
Market Regression
+7.5
Final Difference
-135.0
Model Spread
+5.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+6.9
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+3.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
6
Yards / Game
22
6
Passing Yards / Game
28
18
Rushing Yards / Game
4
1
EPA
EPA / Play
12
2
EPA / Pass
4
4
EPA / Rush
21
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
18
Interceptions / Game
2
5
Fumbles / Game
21
16
Turnover EPA / Game
29
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
11
4th Down Efficiency
19
8
RZ Efficiency
14
14
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
1
Yards / Game
14
1
Passing Yards / Game
3
5
Rushing Yards / Game
24
7
EPA
EPA / Play
21
1
EPA / Pass
19
1
EPA / Rush
26
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
16
Interceptions / Game
28
1
Fumbles / Game
13
13
Turnover EPA / Game
4
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
9
4th Down Efficiency
12
7
RZ Efficiency
24
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Cardinals
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U