SEASeahawks
4-1
6
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
06
ARICardinals
3-3
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Seahawks
0
0
0
3
3
6
Cardinals
0
3
0
0
3
6
Spread
+1.5
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
257
443
Total Plays
57
90
Yards / Play
4.5
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.37
-0.26
Passing Yards
205
311
Comp/Att
24/37(65%)
29/49(59%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
6.3
EPA / Pass
-0.16
-0.01
Rushing Yards
52
132
Rush Attempts
19
37
Yards / Rush
2.7
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.28
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
23
Passing 1st downs
7
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
21%
48%
3rd Down Conversions
3
10
3rd Down Attempts
14
21
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-20
-31
Sack EPA
-2.81
-7.55
Penalties
10
6
Penalty Yards
90
--
Penalty EPA
-8.41
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-1.5
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market53.2%
Model53.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+33
Home nfelo
1,615
Away nfelo
1,618
Home Field
+41.0
Base HFA
+57.1
Divisional Adj
-25.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.9
Time Adj
-10.2
Net QB Adjustment
-5.5
Home QB Adjustment
-4.0
Away QB Adjustment
+1.6
Market Regression
-7.0
Final Difference
22.3
Model Spread
-1.5
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+1.6
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-4.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
14
Yards / Game
15
2
Passing Yards / Game
4
18
Rushing Yards / Game
21
9
EPA
EPA / Play
14
2
EPA / Pass
10
3
EPA / Rush
21
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
7
Interceptions / Game
15
14
Fumbles / Game
6
5
Turnover EPA / Game
21
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
14
4th Down Efficiency
21
13
RZ Efficiency
26
17
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
2
Yards / Game
8
5
Passing Yards / Game
5
14
Rushing Yards / Game
17
6
EPA
EPA / Play
20
8
EPA / Pass
21
16
EPA / Rush
20
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
6
Interceptions / Game
26
25
Fumbles / Game
29
23
Turnover EPA / Game
7
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
12
4th Down Efficiency
14
5
RZ Efficiency
5
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Cardinals
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U