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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ cardinals week 7, 2016

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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SEA logo
SEASeahawks
4-1
6
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0
6
ARICardinals
3-3
ARI logo
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Seahawks
0
0
0
3
3
6
Cardinals
0
3
0
0
3
6

Spread

SEA logo
+1.5

Total

UNDER
43

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
Total Yards
257
443
Total Plays
57
90
Yards / Play
4.5
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.37
-0.26
Passing Yards
205
311
Comp/Att
24/37(65%)
29/49(59%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
6.3
EPA / Pass
-0.16
-0.01
Rushing Yards
52
132
Rush Attempts
19
37
Yards / Rush
2.7
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.28
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
1st Downs
11
23
Passing 1st downs
7
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
21%
48%
3rd Down Conversions
3
10
3rd Down Attempts
14
21
Red Zone %
0%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-20
-31
Sack EPA
-2.81
-7.55
Penalties
10
6
Penalty Yards
90
--
Penalty EPA
-8.41
--

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
ARI logo
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-1.5
Model
-1.5

Win Probability

Market53.2%
Model53.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+32
Home nfelo
1,612
Away nfelo
1,616
Home Field
+41.6
Base HFA
+57.9
Divisional Adj
-26.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.2
Time Adj
-10.3
Net QB Adjustment
-5.5
Home QB Adjustment
-4.0
Away QB Adjustment
+1.6
Market Regression
-7.0
Final Difference
22.3
Model Spread
-1.5

Quarterbacks

R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+1.6
Value
Ptile
12/20
7.2
92
12/27
0.2
51
01/03
4.5
81
01/10
-5.1
14
01/17
2.7
71
09/11
-1.7
35
09/18
-1.0
41
09/25
0.1
49
10/02
5.3
83
10/16
0.2
51
C. Palmer headshot

C. Palmer

Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-4.0
Value
Ptile
12/20
0.2
52
12/27
1.1
58
01/03
-3.9
22
01/16
1.5
62
01/24
-9.2
3
09/11
1.8
63
09/18
4.1
79
09/25
-13.2
0
10/02
-2.0
34
10/17
1.1
57

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Seahawks logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
17
14
Yards / Game
15
2
Passing Yards / Game
4
18
Rushing Yards / Game
21
9

EPA

EPA / Play
14
2
EPA / Pass
10
3
EPA / Rush
21
6

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
30
7
Interceptions / Game
15
14
Fumbles / Game
6
5
Turnover EPA / Game
21
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
14
4th Down Efficiency
21
13
RZ Efficiency
26
17
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Cardinals logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
6
2
Yards / Game
8
5
Passing Yards / Game
5
14
Rushing Yards / Game
17
6

EPA

EPA / Play
20
8
EPA / Pass
21
16
EPA / Rush
20
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
32
6
Interceptions / Game
26
25
Fumbles / Game
29
23
Turnover EPA / Game
7
8

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
14
12
4th Down Efficiency
14
5
RZ Efficiency
5
20

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/20
17
W
W
U
12/27
-6
L
L
U
01/03
30
W
W
U
01/10
1
W
L
U
01/17
-7
L
L
O
09/11
2
W
L
U
09/18
-6
L
L
U
09/25
19
W
W
O
10/02
10
W
W
O
10/16
2
W
L
O
ARI logo

Cardinals

5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/27
30
W
W
U
01/03
-30
L
L
U
01/16
6
W
L
U
01/24
-34
L
L
O
09/11
-2
L
L
U
09/18
33
W
W
U
09/25
-15
L
L
O
10/02
-4
L
L
U
10/06
12
W
W
O
10/17
25
W
W
U