SEASeahawks
3-5
20
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
031
ARICardinals
5-3
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
10
0
3
20
Cardinals
0
10
7
14
31
Spread
-8
Total
OVER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
472
462
Total Plays
81
68
Yards / Play
5.8
6.8
EPA / Play
+0.05
+0.19
Passing Yards
308
--
Comp/Att
27/53(51%)
29/38(76%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
--
EPA / Pass
-0.03
+0.36
Rushing Yards
164
122
Rush Attempts
24
30
Yards / Rush
6.8
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.19
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
29
22
Passing 1st downs
17
15
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
5
3
3rd Down %
40%
17%
3rd Down Conversions
6
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
25%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-9.81
--
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-23
--
Sack EPA
-6.16
--
Penalties
9
11
Penalty Yards
113
136
Penalty EPA
-10.46
-16.53
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-9.0
Current
-8.0
Model
-8.0
Win Probability
Market75.7%
Model75.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+186
Home nfelo
1,567
Away nfelo
1,439
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+2.3
Home QB Adjustment
+1.3
Away QB Adjustment
-0.9
Market Regression
-19.5
Final Difference
197.4
Model Spread
-8.0
Quarterbacks
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-0.9
K. Warner
Proj. Value
+2.9
Team Elo Adj
+1.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
20
Yards / Game
21
24
Passing Yards / Game
7
20
Rushing Yards / Game
26
16
EPA
EPA / Play
25
15
EPA / Pass
24
15
EPA / Rush
31
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
28
Interceptions / Game
24
8
Fumbles / Game
22
26
Turnover EPA / Game
7
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
11
4th Down Efficiency
22
19
RZ Efficiency
30
18
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
25
Yards / Game
12
23
Passing Yards / Game
8
5
Rushing Yards / Game
27
14
EPA
EPA / Play
17
21
EPA / Pass
13
28
EPA / Rush
19
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
11
Interceptions / Game
17
22
Fumbles / Game
31
23
Turnover EPA / Game
5
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
18
4th Down Efficiency
13
15
RZ Efficiency
1
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
4-4-2
O/U
Cardinals
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
3-5-2
O/U