SEASeahawks
4-4
36
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
018
ARICardinals
3-5
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
10
9
10
36
Cardinals
7
3
0
8
18
Spread
+3.5
Total
OVER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
490
329
Total Plays
73
65
Yards / Play
6.7
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.10
-0.27
Passing Yards
380
288
Comp/Att
26/40(65%)
23/46(50%)
Yards / Pass
9.5
6.3
EPA / Pass
+0.38
-0.26
Rushing Yards
110
41
Rush Attempts
31
14
Yards / Rush
3.5
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.21
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
19
Passing 1st downs
15
16
Rushing 1st downs
7
2
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
40%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
6
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
11
Red Zone %
25%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
8
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-7.08
-9.97
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-6
-36
Sack EPA
-2.07
-14.74
Penalties
6
10
Penalty Yards
51
50
Penalty EPA
-3.90
-7.30
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model62.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+72
Home nfelo
1,420
Away nfelo
1,391
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-12.6
Home QB Adjustment
-26.7
Away QB Adjustment
-14.1
Market Regression
+23.4
Final Difference
88.7
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
M. Hasselbeck
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
-14.1
D. Anderson
Proj. Value
-3.3
Team Elo Adj
-26.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
30
Yards / Game
26
28
Passing Yards / Game
25
27
Rushing Yards / Game
31
30
EPA
EPA / Play
22
14
EPA / Pass
24
19
EPA / Rush
24
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
2
Interceptions / Game
20
11
Fumbles / Game
12
2
Turnover EPA / Game
12
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
11
4th Down Efficiency
29
21
RZ Efficiency
26
1
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
27
Yards / Game
31
30
Passing Yards / Game
22
24
Rushing Yards / Game
32
21
EPA
EPA / Play
31
25
EPA / Pass
31
29
EPA / Rush
25
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
17
Interceptions / Game
21
27
Fumbles / Game
22
20
Turnover EPA / Game
5
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
26
4th Down Efficiency
24
7
RZ Efficiency
29
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Cardinals
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
8-2
O/U