SEASeahawks
2-1
27
TBD
FedExField
67°F
4 mph
17
WASCommanders
1-3
TBD
FedExField
67°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
10
0
10
27
Commanders
0
7
3
7
17
Spread
-7
Total
UNDER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
403
307
Total Plays
63
54
Yards / Play
6.4
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.18
-0.02
Passing Yards
178
275
Comp/Att
18/24(75%)
21/36(58%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
7.6
EPA / Pass
+0.05
+0.17
Rushing Yards
225
32
Rush Attempts
36
17
Yards / Rush
6.3
1.9
EPA / Rush
+0.31
-0.52
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
14
Passing 1st downs
8
12
Rushing 1st downs
10
1
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
36%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
60%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-23
-8
Sack EPA
-4.37
-1.60
Penalties
13
3
Penalty Yards
90
--
Penalty EPA
-10.28
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-8.0
Win Probability
Market73.2%
Model76.7%
Spread Pick
Seahawks-7.0
Expected Value
+7.0%
Cover Probability
51.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-242
Home nfelo
1,469
Away nfelo
1,666
Home Field
+2.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-48.6
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-33.5
Net QB Adjustment
-47.1
Home QB Adjustment
-40.9
Away QB Adjustment
+6.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-206.7
Model Spread
+8.0
Quarterbacks
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+6.2
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-40.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Seahawks Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
29
Yards / Game
8
19
Passing Yards / Game
13
16
Rushing Yards / Game
1
12
EPA
EPA / Play
8
31
EPA / Pass
10
32
EPA / Rush
1
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
2
Interceptions / Game
5
28
Fumbles / Game
9
16
Turnover EPA / Game
31
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
24
4th Down Efficiency
29
24
RZ Efficiency
19
15
Commanders Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
1
Yards / Game
13
1
Passing Yards / Game
9
6
Rushing Yards / Game
18
4
EPA
EPA / Play
23
4
EPA / Pass
25
4
EPA / Rush
18
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
12
Interceptions / Game
26
13
Fumbles / Game
32
15
Turnover EPA / Game
7
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
16
4th Down Efficiency
32
28
RZ Efficiency
27
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Seahawks
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Commanders
1-9
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U